Highlights
- Existing home sales rebounded and increased from 4.47 mln in March to 4.62 mln in April. The Briefing.com consensus expected sales to increase to 4.65 mln.
Key Factors
- For the second consecutive month, sales were tempered by softening investor demand that resulted from a lack of inventory of distressed properties in highly desirable areas. Distressed sales, which accounted for 34% of sales as recently as February and 37% of sales in April 2011, accounted for only 29% of sales in March and 28% of sales in April.
- Affordable conditions, however, helped bring first-time buyers into the market as sales to this group increased from 33% in March to 35% in April. This offset the drop in investor demand and helped drive overall sales back to January/February levels.
- Without distressed sales weighing down prices, the median home price jumped 10.1% y/y in April to $177,400. That is up from a 3.1% y/y increase in March.
- As bank-owned properties return to the market place, we suspect that year-over-year price gains will moderate.
Big Picture
- Home affordability measures remain near all-time highs, but a combination of hesitant buyers and credit constraints are keeping existing home sales growth from experiencing a true breakout period. Instead, sales should move on a slow, upward -- but choppy -- path.
| Category | APR | MAR | FEB | JAN | DEC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Existing Home Sales | 4.62M | 4.47M | 4.60M | 4.63M | 4.38M |
| Months Supply | 6.6 | 6.2 | 6.3 | 6.0 | 6.4 |
| Median Price Y/Y | 10.1% | 3.1% | -0.3% | -2.1% | -3.9% |





